Down on the Farm - 7/15/22

A look at organizational draft results in the context of expected pick value, AL Central historical draft results, Colton Cowser (BAL) hits 2 homers, Anthony Volpe (NYY) & Jordan Walker (STL) homer

Draft week continues. Today we look at the AL Central, but first…

Expected Value by Draft Pick Position

The graph below is a reminder of how quickly the expected value for draft picks drops off after the 1st round. This plot displays the average career WAR by overall pick number over the past 20 years fit with an exponential decay function. Why might it …